tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post7953579125245111929..comments2023-09-22T06:22:50.820-06:00Comments on Ken Chapman: Polls Show Canadians Prefer None of the Above for Prime Ministerkenchapmanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11384045981190810115noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-71647878843461622592007-03-30T15:59:00.000-06:002007-03-30T15:59:00.000-06:00Good points eric.Who gets seen as becoming better ...Good points eric.<BR/><BR/>Who gets seen as becoming better over time in the public's mind - Harper or Dion? Dion can only go up (I hope!!!). Harper is what he is...not going to change much over time. <BR/><BR/>Layton will pull the trigger if you want him to. He has to worry about the Greens and the sooner he goes the better. May can only do better with time.<BR/><BR/>Go now before Duceppe can decide to go to the PQ in the pending purge of Boisclair. <BR/><BR/>Do it eric - pull the trigger - call and election - but if no CPC majority then Harper will be the next Diefenbaker.kenchapmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11384045981190810115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-52809835511500097752007-03-30T15:42:00.000-06:002007-03-30T15:42:00.000-06:00I agree with much of your analysis. However, perf...I agree with much of your analysis. However, perfection is not required; you just have to be better than the other guy. Right now, we see Dion as week and the LPC disorganized and lacking in funding. A long campaign is more likely as it will suck the LPC's funds thin.<BR/><BR/>Depends on how you view Dion. Personally I think he is not going to get much better and knives within the party will be even sharper after one year. Given that, the CPC should stand back and allow Cdns to get more familiar with Harper. But some (not me for sure) think Dion could turn things around after a year - organize the Party, figure out how to control his caucus, and simply beef up on his English. If that's the case, go now!<BR/><BR/>Re who pulls the trigger. Harper has said he will not call an election. If the opposition votes down a confidence matter, they have effectively triggered the election (there is spin the other way of course - that the CPC set itself up to fail, etc.).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-76896599486849232912007-03-30T15:18:00.000-06:002007-03-30T15:18:00.000-06:00The party that is seen to cause an unwanted electi...The party that is seen to cause an unwanted election at this time will be punished at the polls. Not enough of a sense of where the public is on the parties or th eleaders never mind the policy right now either.<BR/><BR/>Dec is the 2006 all over again, meaning a very short election cycle in reality because nobody will pay attention until after Christmas. That means a much less informed electorate..a good thing for Harper perhaps. <BR/><BR/>February next year is the best timing because it gives time for the Budget to have impact and to just to be the rheotric of a speech and media coverage. <BR/><BR/>That timing ought to help Harper in Quebec too especially then he can figure out who he wants to be his next "best friend" in Quebec...Charest or Dumont.kenchapmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11384045981190810115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-27672505240252781112007-03-30T12:28:00.000-06:002007-03-30T12:28:00.000-06:00You are correct. There is no spending limit outsi...You are correct. There is no spending limit outside the writ period. Thus, if you have excess financial resources, you tend to use them before the writ is dropped (similar to the EDA level).<BR/><BR/>There are attack ads because they work; I don't know what else to say. I don't think there is a qualitative difference of these ads either before or after the writ is dropped (if they don't work, the CPC would be wasting a lot of resources).<BR/><BR/>I notice that your recent posts have indicated that the Cons should be wary about an election. If you keep it up, you might scare them off the trigger! There are 3 possible election scenarios: June 4th, another Dec election, or Feb of next year. The debate is on.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-41037285478155107212007-03-30T11:35:00.000-06:002007-03-30T11:35:00.000-06:00Harper sent so many pre-budget trial balloons out ...Harper sent so many pre-budget trial balloons out the Budget itself was practically a sequel to prior media coverage.<BR/><BR/>No one is saying you can't run ads outside the elections. But aren't campaigns restricted by law as to the amount of money they can spend on such ads within the election period? <BR/><BR/>If so, doing party based personal campaign style attack ads geared to influence an election but outside the election period is legal - I guess. <BR/><BR/>It just lacks something. A trifling little thing - as least in the minds of the Con strategists - INTEGRITY! <BR/><BR/>Doing indirectly what you can't or should not do directly does not engender trust, respect or confidence.kenchapmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11384045981190810115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-90696871894212002132007-03-30T11:24:00.000-06:002007-03-30T11:24:00.000-06:00Have to add one more comment. Was I not mistaken ...Have to add one more comment. Was I not mistaken or did Martin & Co. run attack ads against Harper in the previous 2 elections? Your only argument is that one should not run ads outside of an election writ period.<BR/><BR/>I still have time to read your blog and post before this weekend, which is expected to be VERY busy. I look forward to seeing ads and hope that they illustrate that Dion decided to vote against my good things for Cdns even BEFORE he actually saw the budget.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31415271.post-64851317678905282922007-03-30T11:20:00.000-06:002007-03-30T11:20:00.000-06:00This poll was conducted on March 14 and 15, which ...This poll was conducted on March 14 and 15, which was before the budget.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com