Reboot Alberta

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

New Poll of PC Members Sees Three-Way Tie

Apparently a new Poll is out - can't track it down yet but QR77 Radio in Calgary is commenting on it:

CALGARY/AM770CHQR - A Calgary-based business and taxpayer group has released results of a survey showing a virtual three way tie for the lead in the Alberta Tory leadership race.The Progressive Group for Independent Business shows Lyle Oberg and Ted Morton each with 17 percent support among Tory party members who plan to vote in the election.Jim Dinning is close behind at 16 per cent.The PGIB says it did its own survey out of frustration that other surveys polled Albertans who were not tory party members or even planning to vote in the leadership race.

This group is a right wing business/lobbying organization run by Craig Chandler former federal Conservative leadership candidate with a strong social conservative personal perspective. So small surprise they "find" Morton in the lead of a tight 3 way race. What is apparently good about this poll is it asks if you are a party member or intend to become one. It is those people who will count in the end and make the real difference in the final results.

Wonder how many were undecided in the PGIB poll. That undecided number has been growing with each new poll and was high as 40% in the recent Leger Poll. The front runners support has been fallling off from the early September polls but the pack in the back have not been breaking out either.

Once I get the detailed results, the questions and the methodology I will share it with you.

3 comments:

  1. Anonymous9:54 am

    Not surprising that a Craig Chandler poll would favour Morton.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Apparently they didn't poll members in Northern Alberta since they couldn't get access to membership lists.

    That being said, I'm inclined to believe that this is the most accurate poll to date. I will admit a bias, though, not because this poll favors a certain candidate, but because it confirms my belief that Dinning, Oberg, and Morton are the only ones who have a chance to win this if the vote was held right now.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous5:53 pm

    A regional breakdown of the survey can be found here:
    http://www.projectalberta.com/board/viewtopic.php?t=2510&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=0

    ReplyDelete

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