So here we are, in a "stable majority government" in times of enormous uncertainty in the world. Democracy has spoken and the collective wisdom of an ever diminishing number of democratically engaged citizens sets Canada on a new course. It looks like voter turnout was even lower this time than the dismal showing in the 2008 election with early indications showing we are flirting with 50% turnout.
We have the results and they are impressive. Mr. Harper is the clear winner and deserves congratulations for such an impressive tactical accomplishment. With Mr. Harper's absolute majority he now has absolute personal power and is now personally entrusted with the future of the country.
The check and balance on Mr. Harper's absolute power is the NDP who have been blessed and burdened with official opposition status. Again congratulations are in order but to Jack Layton personally, not the NDP. This is Jack's victory as much as the majority government is Mr. Harper's victory.
Those who voted for Mr. Harper seem to have been attracted by the need for the stability of a majority government. However, the stability promise of the "Harper Government" is unlikely given the economic, social, political and environmental instability of the world and in the country we now live in. The majority given to Mr;. Harper will more likely result in quicker more decisive political decisions but that is no guarantee of a future that is steady-state stable and certain.
The promise to balance the budget quickly but still undertake enormous spending projects without raising taxes in an economy that most likely a flat line growth profile means money will have to come from serious cuts many other government programs. That is the clear, unequivocal and well articulated game plan of the Harper government. There is no hidden agenda here.
The NDP has been entrusted to be the caring and compassionate conscious of Canadians and to keep the Harper Government honest and accountable. I have no doubt of the integrity of the Layton lead NDP and its capacity to play that role. However, much of the reality of the NDP political fortunes are embedded in the nationhood aspirations of Quebec. It is unclear to me if the death of the Bloc and the resurrection of the Dippers in Quebec means a rejection of separation for federalism. Or is the shift to the NDP just a smarter political tactic by Quebeckers to have fresh faces to push an entitlement agenda in Ottawa?
How beholden is the NDP going to be to the Quebec agenda given that all politics are local at the end of the day? Will we see a return to the focus on Ontario and Quebec as the political power bases that determines the direction for the country like we had in Trudeau's time? Will the west feel like it is "in" or "out" as the country stumbles into a new narrative or returns and retreats into an old one?
As for the Liberals, the writing is not only on the wall it is all over their political structure. Humility was the tone I heard in Mr. Iggnatieff's concession and confession speech last night. It is only one of the key lessons the Liberals have to take to heart as they rebuild from the grass roots up. They have to pick up on Mr;. Iggnatieff's comment that "democracy teaches hard lessons" and the Liberal political challenge now is one of showing character and courage. Are they able to rethink everything and rebuild with a new sense of purpose with an open heart and mind that resonates with Canadians? Time will tell.
The Bloc is done but what is the Quebec agenda for the NDP? Is it separation or federation? We still don't know but we will be enlightened on what the shift to the NDP from the Bloc means for Canada sooner than later. How Mr. Harper responds to Quebec is also uncertain? Will he punish them of appeal to them? He has done both in the past. Again the future is uncertain.
As for Elizabeth May and Linda Duncan, we have the best indication that at the end of the day all politics are local. The coalesced citizens and engaged them in ways that encourages people like me who are worried about the viability of our democracy if citizenship means disengaged cynicism instead of informed activism.
Congratulations to Mr. Harper and Mr. Layton. Condolences to Mr. Iggnatieff and Mr Duceppe. Thumbs up to Ms May and Ms. Duncan for bucking the trends and showing citizens that they can make a difference.
So no federal election for four more years. I wonder how much economic and social stability we will actually have? I wonder how much Canadian politics will change by then too? As for me I see more uncertainty than stability, challenges that are more about complexity than simplicity. I see a fiscal and environmental fog in the future and no clear path forward. So one with the day as we stumble into the future where stability actually means no near term elections but uncertainty in all other aspects of being and becoming the next Canada.
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Friday, April 29, 2011
Is Layton the New Nenshi?
Watching the last minute rise of Jack Layton in the polls for the election on Monday reminds me of the Calgary civic election last October. What we saw then was Naheed Nenshi, an "also-ran" candidate with little hope of success, turn the election for Mayor into a rout and rejection of the establishment candidates.
Are we seeing the same thing on a national scale with the rise in popularity of Jack Layton? It seems to be true in Quebec where Bloc fatigue is translating into NDP support. Quebec is moving far away from the Conservatives who try to buy the hearts with entreats and untrusted promises. As for the Liberal Quebec support, it is pretty much concentrated in Montreal and will likely stay there...but with some nail-biting uncertainty for sure.
There seems to be NDP movement in BC too and some shifting ground in spots in Ontario too. It seem as though more ordinary Canadians are seeing Jack (not the NDP) as a credible person to put some trust in as an alternative to temper the social conservative underbelly of the Harper Conservatives and to continue to humble the Liberal Party as the same time. Are Canadians collecting their wisdom and sending a message that politics as usual is not working and we want change...real change? Is the surge to Jack a protest vote more than a real shift in political philosophy of Canadians? I think so.
As we move into the final campaign weekend the parties will push the emotional buttons of their support base to get out and vote. I expect the messages will have all the subtleness of a late night Sham Wow (sic) infomercial and the gentility of a Don Rickles or a Joan Rivers monologue. The winds of change are in the political air but it is a not a violent thunder storm. It is more like a strong unrelenting headwind of thoughtful citizens pushing back against some of the distasteful campaign tactics of what has become conventional politics in Canada.
There is potential for a new political narrative to be written for Canada come Monday. It will almost assuredly be a minority government and perhaps with the NDP as the official opposition with a strong base in Quebec. What will that mean in terms of policy, governance and politics for the country? Will we see some significant political flux in the leadership of the Conservatives and the Liberals if this happens? Will the knives be out and after the leaders inside the CPC and the LPC? It depends, but don't be surprised if there are pressures on those leaders to pass the torch.
As for Jack, he might decided to quit while at the top of his game and move into a less demanding role as well. Duceppe wants out of politics and has signalled that desire for years. I expect that he will be moving on soon after this election regardless of the outcome.
It could be that the next federal election will see campaigns with new leaders in all the parties, including the Greens if Elizabeth May does not win her seat this time out.
What will the political and policy map of Canada look like after Monday? I am not sure but I am sure of one thing it will be different than it is today. Stay tuned. But in the meantime get out and vote. In a democracy we always get the government we deserve...especially if you don't vote.
Are we seeing the same thing on a national scale with the rise in popularity of Jack Layton? It seems to be true in Quebec where Bloc fatigue is translating into NDP support. Quebec is moving far away from the Conservatives who try to buy the hearts with entreats and untrusted promises. As for the Liberal Quebec support, it is pretty much concentrated in Montreal and will likely stay there...but with some nail-biting uncertainty for sure.
There seems to be NDP movement in BC too and some shifting ground in spots in Ontario too. It seem as though more ordinary Canadians are seeing Jack (not the NDP) as a credible person to put some trust in as an alternative to temper the social conservative underbelly of the Harper Conservatives and to continue to humble the Liberal Party as the same time. Are Canadians collecting their wisdom and sending a message that politics as usual is not working and we want change...real change? Is the surge to Jack a protest vote more than a real shift in political philosophy of Canadians? I think so.
As we move into the final campaign weekend the parties will push the emotional buttons of their support base to get out and vote. I expect the messages will have all the subtleness of a late night Sham Wow (sic) infomercial and the gentility of a Don Rickles or a Joan Rivers monologue. The winds of change are in the political air but it is a not a violent thunder storm. It is more like a strong unrelenting headwind of thoughtful citizens pushing back against some of the distasteful campaign tactics of what has become conventional politics in Canada.
There is potential for a new political narrative to be written for Canada come Monday. It will almost assuredly be a minority government and perhaps with the NDP as the official opposition with a strong base in Quebec. What will that mean in terms of policy, governance and politics for the country? Will we see some significant political flux in the leadership of the Conservatives and the Liberals if this happens? Will the knives be out and after the leaders inside the CPC and the LPC? It depends, but don't be surprised if there are pressures on those leaders to pass the torch.
As for Jack, he might decided to quit while at the top of his game and move into a less demanding role as well. Duceppe wants out of politics and has signalled that desire for years. I expect that he will be moving on soon after this election regardless of the outcome.
It could be that the next federal election will see campaigns with new leaders in all the parties, including the Greens if Elizabeth May does not win her seat this time out.
What will the political and policy map of Canada look like after Monday? I am not sure but I am sure of one thing it will be different than it is today. Stay tuned. But in the meantime get out and vote. In a democracy we always get the government we deserve...especially if you don't vote.
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Youth Are Not Politically Disengaged - If They Have a Reason to Believe
A great thing about political campaigns is you meet new people, often outside your usual spheres and circles. It adds dynamics and depth to ones understanding of how others see the world. I especially enjoy spending time with younger people and finding out more about their points of view and not just about politics - about everything they see as important.
The presumptions and stereotypes we are so quick to attribute and hesitant to change about one group or another is a dangerous thing. Pattern making is one of the great gifts of the human species and also one of our greatest downfalls because it hinders our ability to reflect on a deeper understanding appreciation or even plain tolerance for differences.
I am very aware of the application of this patterning perpetuating beliefs and superficial assumptions. One that drives me crazy is the superficial assumption that youth are not involved and engaged in politics. They are not involved in the outdated and sclerotic political institutions but that is a far cry from saying they are not involved. They are - just not in the traditionalist top down command and control concepts of political culture.
I want you to meet Erin Craig. She is a young musician who has become politically engaged through the Glenn Taylor campaign to be the leader for the Alberta Party. Here is her email to her friend expressing her thoughts and asking her friends to also become active, informed and engaged citizens. It is also a strong testimonial for Glenn Taylor and food for thought as to why he is the right kind of person to lead with others in the Alberta Party.
The Alberta Party is an effort to change the old way of doing politics in a top down hierarchy with concentrated and centralized leadership. It is a learning organization with people very skilled at the use of social media as an outreach tool and a means for message amplification. But the Alberta Party is dedicated to speaking with people directly, face to face, in what we call The Big Listen. This is an effective and sincere effort to form real relationships amongst people. It is a growing citizen's movement learning to become a new kind of political party to foster progressive changes to the Alberta political culture.
Young people like Erin Craig catching on to what the Alberta Party is all about. I expect many of them, like Erin, will find that Glenn Taylor is a different kind of leader, one they can believe in. Everyday I am seeing a progressive sea change coming to Alberta in the next election as the Erin Craig story get repeated all over the province and through all different kinds of people.
I encourage you to dust off your citizenship and park your apathy...it boring. There is a revival of democracy in the Alberta air these days and the Alberta Party is part of that spring freshness you a sensing. Join us and be the change you want. Support Glenn Taylor as the leader for the Alberta Party and help make the change you want in Alberta a reality. You can join Team Taylor by purchasing an Alberta Party membership online and volunteering for Glenn by sending me an email at kenc@glenntaylor.org
Looking forward to hearing from you.
The presumptions and stereotypes we are so quick to attribute and hesitant to change about one group or another is a dangerous thing. Pattern making is one of the great gifts of the human species and also one of our greatest downfalls because it hinders our ability to reflect on a deeper understanding appreciation or even plain tolerance for differences.
I am very aware of the application of this patterning perpetuating beliefs and superficial assumptions. One that drives me crazy is the superficial assumption that youth are not involved and engaged in politics. They are not involved in the outdated and sclerotic political institutions but that is a far cry from saying they are not involved. They are - just not in the traditionalist top down command and control concepts of political culture.
I want you to meet Erin Craig. She is a young musician who has become politically engaged through the Glenn Taylor campaign to be the leader for the Alberta Party. Here is her email to her friend expressing her thoughts and asking her friends to also become active, informed and engaged citizens. It is also a strong testimonial for Glenn Taylor and food for thought as to why he is the right kind of person to lead with others in the Alberta Party.
The Alberta Party is an effort to change the old way of doing politics in a top down hierarchy with concentrated and centralized leadership. It is a learning organization with people very skilled at the use of social media as an outreach tool and a means for message amplification. But the Alberta Party is dedicated to speaking with people directly, face to face, in what we call The Big Listen. This is an effective and sincere effort to form real relationships amongst people. It is a growing citizen's movement learning to become a new kind of political party to foster progressive changes to the Alberta political culture.
Young people like Erin Craig catching on to what the Alberta Party is all about. I expect many of them, like Erin, will find that Glenn Taylor is a different kind of leader, one they can believe in. Everyday I am seeing a progressive sea change coming to Alberta in the next election as the Erin Craig story get repeated all over the province and through all different kinds of people.
I encourage you to dust off your citizenship and park your apathy...it boring. There is a revival of democracy in the Alberta air these days and the Alberta Party is part of that spring freshness you a sensing. Join us and be the change you want. Support Glenn Taylor as the leader for the Alberta Party and help make the change you want in Alberta a reality. You can join Team Taylor by purchasing an Alberta Party membership online and volunteering for Glenn by sending me an email at kenc@glenntaylor.org
Looking forward to hearing from you.
Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Dave Meslin Makes Sense of Citizen Engagement
Readers of this blog know that I am keen on progressive politics but also citizen engagement. Dave takes on the presumption of apathy. The presumption of apathy is challenged and seen as a function of institutionalized barriers and obstacles.
He explores my other passion of leadership. Leadership is an heroic effort and a collective effort. Leadership is imperfect and voluntary. Leadership is "...about following your own dreams uninvited and work with others to make those drams come true."
His comments about political parties are very telling. He rightly says that political parties ought to be the most obvious entry point for citizen to become engaged. Instead they be come unimaginative and uninspiring organizations that are so dominate by polling and focus groups they all crowd in the muddle (sic) and don't risk bold and creative ideas.
It is just over 7 minutes but if you are concerned about how to prevent, avoid, detect and correct what is hindering citizen engagement this TED Talk is worth your time and reflection.
He explores my other passion of leadership. Leadership is an heroic effort and a collective effort. Leadership is imperfect and voluntary. Leadership is "...about following your own dreams uninvited and work with others to make those drams come true."
His comments about political parties are very telling. He rightly says that political parties ought to be the most obvious entry point for citizen to become engaged. Instead they be come unimaginative and uninspiring organizations that are so dominate by polling and focus groups they all crowd in the muddle (sic) and don't risk bold and creative ideas.
It is just over 7 minutes but if you are concerned about how to prevent, avoid, detect and correct what is hindering citizen engagement this TED Talk is worth your time and reflection.
Monday, April 18, 2011
Alberta Party Leadership Nominations Close Today
The next growth stage for the Alberta Party starts today. The nominations for the leadership close today so we will know who is really in the running to lead this new political party and who is not.
GLENN TAYLOR FIRST AP LEADERSHIP CANDIDATE CONFIRMED:
Glenn Taylor was confirmed as qualified to run for the Alberta Party leadership last Thursday. He was the first candidate to declare his intentions to seek the Alberta Party leadership on February 8th and he is the first to meet the requirements of the Alberta Party to qualify to run for leadership.
Glenn is the candidate I believe most qualified and experienced to help the Alberta Party move to the next level of organization and preparation. He aligns with the values and the shared governing philosophy of the Alberta Party. There is also a pragmatic reality facing the Alberta Party around leadership. That is all the work that must be done to get this fledgling political movement ready to be a force to be reckoned with in the next Alberta election.
There is so much on the ground organizing work to be done. That will take dedicated time and proven talent if the next leader to continue to help the Alberta Party and its dedicated and growing membership realize the goal of being a viable and valid political alternative in the next election. The next election may come sooner than we think.
ALBERTA PARTY IS MOVING TO THE NEXT STAGE OF GROWTH:
Albertans are now seriously considering the Alberta Party but there is a long and arduous road ahead to move people from seriously considering to actually supporting the Alberta Party. Part of that shift will depend on the new leader. Will she or he be credible within the Alberta Party membership to capture and help them generate more enthusiasm for doing politics differently? Will the new Alberta Party leader be credible with the general voting population of Alberta to move beyond being Alberta Party curious to being an Alberta Party supporter?
That support for the Alberta Party that must come from Albertans who are yearning for a viable alternative to status quo politics. Casting a ballot for an Alberta Party candidate is necessary but insufficient to make the real difference the Alberta Party is pursuing. That support has to translate into memberships, fund raising, constituency organization, candidacy selection and training, policy and platform development, communications. Plus a deep and determined dedication to continuing and extending the Big Listen process all over, up to and through the next election. That support comes from hard work and devoting the time necessary to make it happen.
QUALITIES AND CAPACITIES OF THE NEXT LEADER:
The next a leader has to do all this and model the behaviour necessary for others to engage deploying their time and talents to the cause too. This is a shared responsibility that is lead from within the membership not dictated by a top down leader. The Alberta Party is looking for an authentic and catalytic leader not just a charismatic personality kind of leadership. Finding that kind and quality of leader is one of the keys for the Alberta Party to actually demonstrate that we will do politics differently and not just say we are different.
The new leader has to be capable an competent in all these areas as well as bring the capacity for personal electability. There is nothing good going to happen for the growth of the Alberta Party if the new leader is not electable in a constituency somewhere in Alberta. That is the truly one of the most profound and pragmatic reasons why Glenn Taylor is the best choice for the Alberta Party leadership. He has been elected four times in Hinton, three times as Mayor.
Glenn is the real deal when it comes to organizing and delivering on citizen engagement and political participation . He has sold the most Alberta Party memberships of anyone in his campaign. I will not be surprised that come the May 28 Alberta Party Leadership and Policy Convention that Glenn's constituency of West Yellowhead is going to be one of the largest, if not the largest Alberta Party constituency membership in all of Alberta.
Glenn has attracted and recruited former provincial and federal candidates from the NDP and Liberals in the West Yellowhead constituency to join the Alberta Party and support his leadership bid and his candidacy for the Alberta Party in the next election. That kind of bridge building and relationship focus is going to be at the heart of the next stage of the Alberta Party growth and development.
JOIN THE ALBERTA PARTY AND MAKE A DIFFERENCE:
So today is a big day in the history and the future of the Alberta Party and those candidates who qualify for the leadership race. They offer themselves for public service in a partisan political leadership role and potentially as the Premier of the province.
So Alberta, it is not too late to have an influence on the Alberta Party, its leadership and the future of the province. If you want to support Glenn Taylor you can. You can buy a membership by contacting haleys@glenntaylor.org. You can donate online at www.glenntaylor.org. You can organize and invite folks to a meet and greet event in your home or your community to move people from Alberta Party curious to Alberta Party enthusiast.
Forty years of one party rule is enough. We need a viable progressive political alternative. The good news is the Alberta Party is emerging as that viable progressive political alternative but it need nurturing and support to make it happen. The world is run by those who show up. Here is a chance for you to be a citizen again and to be part of running Alberta again.
GLENN TAYLOR FIRST AP LEADERSHIP CANDIDATE CONFIRMED:
Glenn Taylor was confirmed as qualified to run for the Alberta Party leadership last Thursday. He was the first candidate to declare his intentions to seek the Alberta Party leadership on February 8th and he is the first to meet the requirements of the Alberta Party to qualify to run for leadership.
Glenn is the candidate I believe most qualified and experienced to help the Alberta Party move to the next level of organization and preparation. He aligns with the values and the shared governing philosophy of the Alberta Party. There is also a pragmatic reality facing the Alberta Party around leadership. That is all the work that must be done to get this fledgling political movement ready to be a force to be reckoned with in the next Alberta election.
There is so much on the ground organizing work to be done. That will take dedicated time and proven talent if the next leader to continue to help the Alberta Party and its dedicated and growing membership realize the goal of being a viable and valid political alternative in the next election. The next election may come sooner than we think.
ALBERTA PARTY IS MOVING TO THE NEXT STAGE OF GROWTH:
Albertans are now seriously considering the Alberta Party but there is a long and arduous road ahead to move people from seriously considering to actually supporting the Alberta Party. Part of that shift will depend on the new leader. Will she or he be credible within the Alberta Party membership to capture and help them generate more enthusiasm for doing politics differently? Will the new Alberta Party leader be credible with the general voting population of Alberta to move beyond being Alberta Party curious to being an Alberta Party supporter?
That support for the Alberta Party that must come from Albertans who are yearning for a viable alternative to status quo politics. Casting a ballot for an Alberta Party candidate is necessary but insufficient to make the real difference the Alberta Party is pursuing. That support has to translate into memberships, fund raising, constituency organization, candidacy selection and training, policy and platform development, communications. Plus a deep and determined dedication to continuing and extending the Big Listen process all over, up to and through the next election. That support comes from hard work and devoting the time necessary to make it happen.
QUALITIES AND CAPACITIES OF THE NEXT LEADER:
The next a leader has to do all this and model the behaviour necessary for others to engage deploying their time and talents to the cause too. This is a shared responsibility that is lead from within the membership not dictated by a top down leader. The Alberta Party is looking for an authentic and catalytic leader not just a charismatic personality kind of leadership. Finding that kind and quality of leader is one of the keys for the Alberta Party to actually demonstrate that we will do politics differently and not just say we are different.
The new leader has to be capable an competent in all these areas as well as bring the capacity for personal electability. There is nothing good going to happen for the growth of the Alberta Party if the new leader is not electable in a constituency somewhere in Alberta. That is the truly one of the most profound and pragmatic reasons why Glenn Taylor is the best choice for the Alberta Party leadership. He has been elected four times in Hinton, three times as Mayor.
Glenn is the real deal when it comes to organizing and delivering on citizen engagement and political participation . He has sold the most Alberta Party memberships of anyone in his campaign. I will not be surprised that come the May 28 Alberta Party Leadership and Policy Convention that Glenn's constituency of West Yellowhead is going to be one of the largest, if not the largest Alberta Party constituency membership in all of Alberta.
Glenn has attracted and recruited former provincial and federal candidates from the NDP and Liberals in the West Yellowhead constituency to join the Alberta Party and support his leadership bid and his candidacy for the Alberta Party in the next election. That kind of bridge building and relationship focus is going to be at the heart of the next stage of the Alberta Party growth and development.
JOIN THE ALBERTA PARTY AND MAKE A DIFFERENCE:
So today is a big day in the history and the future of the Alberta Party and those candidates who qualify for the leadership race. They offer themselves for public service in a partisan political leadership role and potentially as the Premier of the province.
So Alberta, it is not too late to have an influence on the Alberta Party, its leadership and the future of the province. If you want to support Glenn Taylor you can. You can buy a membership by contacting haleys@glenntaylor.org. You can donate online at www.glenntaylor.org. You can organize and invite folks to a meet and greet event in your home or your community to move people from Alberta Party curious to Alberta Party enthusiast.
Forty years of one party rule is enough. We need a viable progressive political alternative. The good news is the Alberta Party is emerging as that viable progressive political alternative but it need nurturing and support to make it happen. The world is run by those who show up. Here is a chance for you to be a citizen again and to be part of running Alberta again.
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