With the various individual MLAs supporting Stelmach and Dinning a review of their respective constituency voting results shows those who performed well or poorly for their guy. The MLA job is to get their constituency to buy memeberships and show up and vote for "their guy." I have done the analysis of Stelmach's MLA Team and it is telling.
The overall score of stars and slackers is about 50/50 for Ed's Team. The big time performers were Ray Danyluk from Lac La Biche St. Paul who turned out whopping 73% of the total 1730 voters for Ed. Next was Luke Oullette from Innisfail Sylvan Lake who turned out a more than respectable 51% of the total 1726 voting members for Stelmach.
Lloyd Snelgrove of Vermillion Lloydminster was second best delivering 48% of the 1068 total voters. Iris Evans of Sherwood Park pulled in 34% of the 1516 votes cast for Ed which I find odd given the new hospital announcement out there made during the campaign. Ed also won Hector Goudreau’s Dunvegan-Central Peace by only by a whisker over Dinning garnering 26% of only 645 votes case but hardly a stellar performance.
The underachiever Ed supporters were Mel Knight in Grande Prairie Smoky who was by far the worst. Ed came in 4th with a mere 14% of the vote. OUCH! Ivan Strang and George Groeneveld were no shows in West Yellowhead and Highwood respectively delivering a 3rd place finishs for Ed with 19 and 20% respectively of the total votes cast. Fred Lindsay was the best of the bad lot getting a 2nd place finish for Ed in Stony Plain with 23% of the vote total.
Lots of room for improvement all over and some definite revitalization of effort and new vigor is needed by some of Ed’s backers if they are serious about supporting him and seeing him win.
Hancock and Stelmach are two of the best retail politicians in the province. Their constituencies drew out the most voters. Hancock's Whitemud drew the largest with 3069 voters and Stelmach was right behind in Fort Saskatchewan Vegreville with 2934.
The turn out of almost 100,000 voters was pleasantly surprising especially given the weather and the generally reported lack of campaign significant membership sales. Lots of constituencies reported a brisk traffic of walking in membership sales all over the province.
Average turnout in Calgary was 1092.25 per constituency, 1181.10 in Edmonton and 1196.35 in the rest of Alberta. The turn out was pretty balanced even though we are fracturing the party ideologically between social conservatives, corporatists and progressives and regionally as well.
This all augers well for a possible boost in overall voting turn out next Saturday too, especially if we get a break in the weather.
I will do an analysis of the Dinning MLA supporter performance next. Stay tuned.
Very Intresting Ken,
ReplyDeletelooking forward to reading your next analysis
Extremely interesting, Ken. I look forward to your piece on Dinning's MLA supporter performance. My sense is that his Calgary MLAs and his two Edmonton MLAs did their job, but that his rural MLA did not do the job. These people are not in the same league as the Kowalski's and Isley's of 1992 and what they did for Klein o second ballot, and they never will be. Jim Dinning is no Ralph Klein in rural Alberta, that is for certain.
ReplyDeleteInteresting reading, but percentage alone doesn't tell the full story. Part of the job of MLAs in this contest is to sell memberships. It's really better to look at the raw vote delivered then the percentage. Which makes Ivan Strang's performance even more pathetic.
ReplyDeleteGroeneveld had tough competition. Area is sympathetic to Morton.
ReplyDeleteStrang, though, I thought would have done better for Ed.
Ray Danyluk kicked some ass up there.